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Trader profile

St3f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet41 open · 86% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$13.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded567Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$2.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$41.5K
Concentration
27.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
457
Showing the largest 8 of 457
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NoValue$681PnL+$128Avg74.9¢Current92.3¢737.9Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$215PnL−$166Avg13.1¢Current7.4¢2,900.23Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$190PnL−$123Avg45.3¢Current27.5¢690Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$140PnL−$229Avg40.9¢Current15.5¢900.01Shares
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesValue$136PnL+$29Avg53.5¢Current68¢200Shares
Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$119PnL+$10Avg90¢Current98.1¢121Shares
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
YesValue$101PnL+$76Avg19.1¢Current76.7¢131.85Shares
Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$97PnL+$13Avg76.4¢Current88.5¢110Shares
Showing 8 of 457 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet St3f: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$3.8K lifetime P&L, $13.9M traded, updated 2026-09-20.