Trader profile

simplystupid188

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-24

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$27.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate46.5%1,047 settled · past 180 days274 open · 74% underwater · 3 hours ago

Lifetime volume$42.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded268Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.5% · Decided 1,047 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded3 hours ago

Current position value: $3.1K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$7.9K
Concentration: 3.6%
Positions: 1,009

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YesValue$109PnL+$64Avg23.7¢Current57.2¢190.95Shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NoValue$90PnL+$70Avg17¢Current78.5¢114.28Shares

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

YesValue$90PnL+$41Avg2.7¢Current4.9¢1,830.5Shares

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

NoValue$65PnL+$33Avg20.1¢Current40.5¢161.52Shares

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

YesValue$59PnL+$47Avg8¢Current38.4¢154.72Shares

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$54PnL+$26Avg1.1¢Current2.1¢2,639.84Shares

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

YesValue$49PnL+$31Avg28.2¢Current76.6¢63.51Shares

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

NoValue$45PnL+$8Avg71.1¢Current87.5¢51.52Shares

Showing 8 of 1,009 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet simplystupid188: 46.5% win rate over 1,047 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$27.1K lifetime P&L, $42.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.