PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

forget4

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$40.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$8.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded845Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.1% / $95% interval −41.7% to −2.5%135 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.1%n=135 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$650.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
369
Showing the largest 8 of 369
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg56¢Current0¢3,600Shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
Sinners · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg36¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)
CTBC Flying Oyster · NoValue$0PnL−$7Avg40¢Current0¢16.33Shares
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg27¢Current0¢6,000Shares
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg38¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$629Avg36¢Current0¢1,747.94Shares
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
Team Secret · YesValue$0PnL−$288Avg22¢Current0¢1,307.91Shares
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
Gentle Mates · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg59¢Current0¢1,768.56Shares
Showing 8 of 369 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet forget4: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.7%, n=135 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.1% over 135 fills); +$40.5K lifetime P&L, $8.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.