PolyTrace
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Trader profile

facai168888

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$513Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.3%14,862 settled · past 180 days8 open · 0% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,193Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.9% / $95% interval −44.4% to +54.2%31 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.4%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.3% · Decided 14,862 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$5.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.9K
Concentration
24%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,807
Showing the largest 8 of 1,807
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$728Avg39.7¢Current92.5¢1,379.1Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$65Avg48.9¢Current51.5¢2,450Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$276Avg27.9¢Current38.1¢2,708.75Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$813PnL+$275Avg43¢Current65¢1,250.47Shares
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$403PnL+$277Avg26.3¢Current84.5¢476.48Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$366PnL+$22Avg86¢Current91.5¢400Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
YesValue$125PnL+$13Avg49.6¢Current55.5¢225.66Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
NoValue$31PnL+$4Avg57¢Current66¢47.36Shares
Showing 8 of 1,807 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet facai168888: 50.3% win rate over 14,862 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +4.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.4%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.4% over 23 fills); −$513 lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.