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Trader profile

Antonio1729-2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.9%8,949 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,863Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.3% / $95% interval −325.6% to +342.2%55 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+8.3%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 35 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.9% · Decided 8,949 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded6 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$2.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$216.7K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
99.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Up · YesValue$2.1KPnL+$592Avg41.2¢Current57.5¢3,638.84Shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Up · YesValue$3PnL+$2Avg10.5¢Current33.1¢10Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.84PnL−$483Avg28.9¢Current0.1¢1,675.71Shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Up · YesValue$0.02PnL−$3Avg9.2¢Current0.1¢31.36Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Up · YesValue$0.01PnL−$6Avg55¢Current0.1¢10.18Shares
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$17Avg10.2¢Current0¢171.6Shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$3Avg10.3¢Current0¢32.78Shares
Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg23.8¢Current0¢96.45Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Antonio1729-2: 55.9% win rate over 8,949 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −325.6%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+8.3% over 55 fills); −$10.6K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.