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Trader profile

oneAce

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$51.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.1%97 settled · past 90 days8 open · 86% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded118Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.0% / $95% interval −240.9% to +278.9%29 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+46.1%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.1% · Decided 97 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.2K
Concentration
33.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$223Avg77.3¢Current68.4¢2,483.95Shares
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$547Avg0.2¢Current0.2¢1,096,134.68Shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$139Avg90¢Current99.1¢1,538.89Shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
NoValue$72PnL$0Avg18¢Current18¢400Shares
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YesValue$58PnL+$4Avg54.9¢Current58.6¢98.5Shares
Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?
YesValue$5PnL−$54Avg2.7¢Current0.3¢2,155.57Shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$76Avg23¢Current0.5¢340Shares
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YesValue$0.14PnL−$0.14Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢274.5Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet oneAce: 35.1% win rate over 97 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +19.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −240.9%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+46.1% over 18 fills); +$51.4K lifetime P&L, $3.8M traded, updated 2026-09-21.