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Trader profile

donaldbush

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$47.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.7%606 settled · past 90 days4 open · 100% underwater · 25 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,115Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.0% / $95% interval −52.1% to +40.1%282 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.6%n=259 settled
Unmapped
−40.6%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.7% · Decided 606 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete25 minutes ago
Current position value
$858
Snapshot cash PnL
−$183.2K
Concentration
98.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
247
Showing the largest 8 of 247
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
LGD Gaming · NoValue$849PnL−$7Avg64¢Current63.5¢1,336.45Shares
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
The Last Resort · YesValue$5PnL−$0.60Avg75¢Current66.5¢7Shares
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
Nexus · NoValue$4PnL−$7Avg87¢Current29¢12.34Shares
Chengdu Open: Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino
Juncheng Shang · YesValue$1PnL−$1.2KAvg61¢Current0.1¢2,000Shares
Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette
Magda Linette · NoValue$0PnL−$7.9KAvg83¢Current0¢9,566.18Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
NoValue$0PnL−$582Avg52.9¢Current0¢1,100Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg51.3¢Current0¢584.8Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$104Avg26¢Current0¢400Shares
Showing 8 of 247 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet donaldbush: 50.7% win rate over 606 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −52.1%, n=282 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.6% over 259 fills); −$47.6K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.