PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4a1a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$172.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.1%2,051 settled · past 90 days0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$12.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded310Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.6% / $95% interval −250.6% to +209.4%231 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−12.5%n=204 settled
Crypto
−61.5%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.1% · Decided 2,051 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$421.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
506
Showing the largest 8 of 506
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg7.8¢Current0¢35,937.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$935Avg26.9¢Current0¢3,478.42Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$826Avg39.3¢Current0¢2,099.98Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
G2Value$0PnL−$1.9KAvg18.2¢Current0¢10,358.24Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$193Avg19¢Current0¢1,015.8Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$574Avg12¢Current0¢4,799.57Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$129Avg5.4¢Current0¢2,375.11Shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Vici GamingValue$0PnL−$122Avg4.5¢Current0¢2,705.9Shares
Showing 8 of 506 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4a1a: 44.1% win rate over 2,051 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −20.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −250.6%, n=231 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.5% over 204 fills); −$172.2K lifetime P&L, $12.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.