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Trader profile

astapzippo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.1%1,504 settled · past 90 days4 open · 64% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,332Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.6% / $95% interval −281.9% to +246.8%68 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.6%n=68 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.1% · Decided 1,504 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$455K
Concentration
56.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,771
Showing the largest 8 of 1,771
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$10Avg81.8¢Current82.5¢1,383.07Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$822PnL−$22Avg70.3¢Current68.5¢1,200Shares
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B
largadosypelados · YesValue$59PnL+$4Avg49¢Current52.5¢111.85Shares
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gothboiclique (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B
BASEMENT BOYS · YesValue$10PnL−$3Avg82¢Current64.5¢15Shares
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A
ex-MANA eSports · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg19¢Current0¢77.03Shares
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis
Maddison Inglis · NoValue$0PnL−$68Avg21.9¢Current0¢308.72Shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$521Avg40.6¢Current0¢1,280.73Shares
Timberwolves vs. Bucks
BucksValue$0PnL−$167Avg55.7¢Current0¢300Shares
Showing 8 of 1,771 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet astapzippo: 47.1% win rate over 1,504 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −17.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −281.9%, n=68 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.6% over 68 fills); −$22.6K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.