PolyTrace
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Trader profile

itsonlyamatteroftime

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$618.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.8%34,055 settled · past 90 days17 open · 69% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$35.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,339Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+13.4% / $95% interval −28.4% to +55.3%834 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+28.6%n=558 settled
Crypto
−18.2%n=271 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.8% · Decided 34,055 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$1.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.1K
Concentration
35.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
217
Showing the largest 8 of 217
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Nikita Tszyu vs. Ben Mahoney
Ben Mahoney · NoValue$599PnL−$400Avg42.5¢Current25.5¢2,348.07Shares
North American Cup T20I: Cayman Islands vs Bermuda
Cayman Islands · YesValue$548PnL+$205Avg59.8¢Current95.5¢573.78Shares
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons
Tokyo Yakult Swallows · YesValue$197PnL+$74Avg47.3¢Current75.6¢260.37Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
Luminosity · YesValue$132PnL+$42Avg38.8¢Current57¢231.95Shares
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles
Hanwha Eagles · NoValue$117PnL−$66Avg82.9¢Current53¢220.49Shares
LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs
Kawaii Kiwis · YesValue$37PnL+$18Avg50.8¢Current100¢37.33Shares
Brandon Mejia Mosqueda vs. Edwin Palomares
Brandon Mejia MosquedaValue$15PnL−$16Avg83¢Current40.6¢37.53Shares
Brandon Mejia Mosqueda vs. Edwin Palomares
Edwin PalomaresValue$15PnL+$9Avg21.7¢Current59.5¢24.62Shares
Showing 8 of 217 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet itsonlyamatteroftime: 48.8% win rate over 34,055 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +13.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.4%, n=834 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+28.6% over 558 fills); −$618.4K lifetime P&L, $35.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.