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Trader profile

Jellow2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$120.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%72 settled · past 90 days21 open · 50% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded450Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.6% / $95% interval −18.2% to +17.0%40 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−5.3%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 72 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$147.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2K
Concentration
61.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$91.3KPnL+$33.8KAvg50¢Current79.4¢115,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$23.7KPnL−$33.8KAvg50¢Current20.7¢115,000Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$7.3KPnL+$32Avg70.2¢Current70.5¢10,414.25Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.6KPnL+$588Avg79.7¢Current87.5¢7,500Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$5.2KPnL+$1.3KAvg49¢Current65.5¢8,000Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$625Avg49¢Current61.5¢5,000Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$3.1KPnL−$7Avg87.7¢Current87.5¢3,499.99Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$48Avg97¢Current99.1¢2,332.58Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Jellow2: 62.5% win rate over 72 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.2%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−5.3% over 32 fills); +$120.7K lifetime P&L, $6.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.