PolyTrace
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Trader profile

garlictrump

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.6%238 settled · past 180 days20 open · 17% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded523Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.2% / $95% interval −436.7% to +402.2%52 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−16.9%n=48 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.6% · Decided 238 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$21.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.6K
Concentration
21.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$1.2KAvg67.9¢Current91.5¢5,000.92Shares
YesValue$3KPnL+$171Avg80.1¢Current84.9¢3,578.82Shares
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$146Avg78.2¢Current85.5¢2,000Shares
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$155Avg90.2¢Current99.4¢1,696.78Shares
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$149Avg90.9¢Current100¢1,640Shares
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$588Avg50¢Current79.4¢2,002.76Shares
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$58Avg72.1¢Current75.5¢1,721.99Shares
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$14Avg72.2¢Current73¢1,617.4Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet garlictrump: 75.6% win rate over 238 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −436.7%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−16.9% over 48 fills); +$26.4K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.