PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x65f9…4425

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate93.7%5,063 settled · past 180 days30 open · 80% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,166Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.7% / $95% interval −994.4% to +934.9%15 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−33.2%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 93.7% · Decided 5,063 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$2.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16K
Concentration
20%
Largest share of value
Positions
242
Showing the largest 8 of 242
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23?
YesValue$439PnL+$12Avg97¢Current99.8¢439.48Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 24?
NoValue$378PnL+$13Avg95¢Current98.5¢383.59Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on September 24?
NoValue$212PnL−$128Avg97.9¢Current61¢348Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?
NoValue$187PnL−$0.65Avg98.3¢Current98¢190.91Shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 24?
NoValue$100PnL−$0.49Avg93.5¢Current93¢107Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 23?
NoValue$92PnL+$3Avg97¢Current99.7¢92.65Shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?
NoValue$79PnL+$1Avg96¢Current97.5¢81.07Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?
NoValue$77PnL+$2Avg97¢Current99.9¢76.88Shares
Showing 8 of 242 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x65f93c0f054db935ed6a254c0ce0e9b3ca624425: 93.7% win rate over 5,063 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −29.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −994.4%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−33.2% over 12 fills); +$1.5K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.