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Trader profile

MagicEightBall

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$21.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.2%127 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded352Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.1% / $95% interval −276.8% to +248.5%14 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−14.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.2% · Decided 127 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$101
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
82
Showing the largest 8 of 82
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$101PnL−$12Avg53.4¢Current47.5¢213Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1AvgCurrent111Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.44Avg0.1¢Current444.01Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$17Avg2.3¢Current725Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$13Avg3.7¢Current343.47Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$62Avg1.7¢Current3,555Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.44Avg0.2¢Current222Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg7.7¢Current294.49Shares
Showing 8 of 82 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MagicEightBall: 47.2% win rate over 127 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −276.8%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−14.1% over 14 fills); +$21.8K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.