PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x6519…611b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.3%78 settled · past 180 days19 open · 86% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$595.8K788 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded141Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.0% / $95% interval −225.8% to +195.8%30 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.6%n=11 settled
Politics
−22.8%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.3% · Decided 78 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$6.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.4K
Concentration
30%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
YesValue$2KPnL+$97Avg94.6¢Current99.4¢2,035.03Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$865PnL−$25Avg90¢Current87.5¢988.9Shares
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
YesValue$595PnL+$22Avg95.7¢Current99.4¢598.96Shares
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
YesValue$540PnL−$311Avg63.8¢Current40.5¢1,333.57Shares
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
YesValue$441PnL−$216Avg72.2¢Current48.5¢909.77Shares
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
YesValue$406PnL+$7Avg92.4¢Current94¢431.93Shares
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
NoValue$294PnL−$12Avg81.3¢Current78¢376.59Shares
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$290PnL+$20Avg89¢Current95.5¢304.16Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b: 51.3% win rate over 78 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −225.8%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.6% over 11 fills); −$5.5K lifetime P&L, $595.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.