PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$124.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.6%27 settled · past 90 days6 open · 0% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded101Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−47.1% / $95% interval −99.3% to +5.0%60 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−50.9%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.6% · Decided 27 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$149.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$215.1K
Concentration
60.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$90.7KPnL+$5.4KAvg69.1¢Current73.5¢123,396.74Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$40.4KPnL+$2.5KAvg69¢Current73.5¢54,999.89Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$9.2KPnL+$1.1KAvg82¢Current92.5¢9,999.99Shares
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$325Avg81¢Current87.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$225Avg81¢Current85.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?
YesValue$380PnL+$8Avg69¢Current70.5¢539.65Shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
YesValue$0PnL−$62Avg15.9¢Current0¢389.42Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$16KAvg24.6¢Current0¢65,023.72Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762fe…: 55.6% win rate over 27 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −47.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −99.3%, n=60 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−50.9% over 52 fills); −$124.4K lifetime P&L, $11M traded, updated 2026-09-24.