PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Reformedx

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.7%459 settled · past 180 days9 open · 95% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,114Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.0% / $95% interval −79.3% to +93.3%183 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+7.9%n=163 settled
Unmapped
+5.3%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.7% · Decided 459 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$4.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$418.7K
Concentration
35.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
509
Showing the largest 8 of 509
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
Luminosity · YesValue$1.7KPnL−$15Avg58¢Current57.5¢2,999.99Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$284Avg15.8¢Current12.5¢8,619.34Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$890PnL+$10Avg44¢Current44.5¢1,999.98Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winner
The Otter Side · NoValue$706PnL−$133Avg36.8¢Current31¢2,276.63Shares
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?
YesValue$215PnL+$5Avg21¢Current21.5¢1,000Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$184PnL+$5Avg36¢Current37¢498.5Shares
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
OverValue$21PnL+$0.60Avg52¢Current53.5¢40Shares
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner
SU Esports · YesValue$16PnL+$2Avg51¢Current56.5¢27.65Shares
Showing 8 of 509 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Reformedx: 54.7% win rate over 459 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.3%, n=183 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+7.9% over 163 fills); +$9.7K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.