PolyTrace
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Trader profile

flatbarrel

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$111.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.6%5,473 settled · past 90 days9 open · 59% underwater · just now
Lifetime volume$17.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,338Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.3% / $95% interval −16.2% to +32.7%1,934 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+8.3%n=1,934 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.6% · Decided 5,473 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete33 seconds ago
Current position value
$5.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$313.7K
Concentration
92.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,269
Showing the largest 8 of 1,269
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Seville: Inaki Montes vs Raul Brancaccio
Raul Brancaccio · NoValue$5KPnL−$100Avg51¢Current50¢10,000Shares
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
Izan Almazan Valiente · YesValue$173PnL+$57Avg40.1¢Current59.5¢291.02Shares
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo
Jie Cui · YesValue$80PnL−$92Avg14¢Current6.5¢1,227.91Shares
Plovdiv 4: Ivan Ivanov vs Adrian Andreev
Ivan Ivanov · YesValue$31PnL+$7Avg38.6¢Current50.5¢61.19Shares
Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Martin DammValue$10PnL+$0.67Avg77¢Current82.5¢12.18Shares
Chengdu Open: Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino · NoValue$3PnL+$0.39Avg87¢Current100¢3.02Shares
Plovdiv 4: Ivan Ivanov vs Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev · NoValue$1PnL−$0.21Avg58¢Current49.5¢2.44Shares
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Irene Burillo Escorihuela · NoValue$0.99PnL+$0.80Avg19¢Current100¢0.99Shares
Showing 8 of 1,269 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet flatbarrel: 54.6% win rate over 5,473 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −16.2%, n=1,934 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.3% over 1,934 fills); +$111.2K lifetime P&L, $17.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.