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Trader profile

kohalacoastgabe

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.4%276 settled · past 180 days14 open · 71% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded286Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.7% / $95% interval −206.5% to +159.1%36 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−19.4%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.4% · Decided 276 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$5.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37K
Concentration
41.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
95
Showing the largest 8 of 95
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$1.1KAvg26.8¢Current51.5¢4,660Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$119Avg63¢Current70.5¢1,587.31Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$581PnL−$419Avg26.7¢Current15.5¢3,749.25Shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$338PnL−$262Avg4.9¢Current2.8¢12,288.92Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
YesValue$283PnL−$117Avg20.5¢Current14.5¢1,953.01Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
NoValue$253PnL−$47Avg17.8¢Current15.1¢1,681.87Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YesValue$182PnL−$718Avg17.1¢Current3.5¢5,265.87Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YesValue$157PnL−$43Avg8.3¢Current6.5¢2,411.72Shares
Showing 8 of 95 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kohalacoastgabe: 42.4% win rate over 276 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −206.5%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−19.4% over 32 fills); −$10.4K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.