PolyTrace
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Trader profile

wokerjoesleeper

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$594.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.7%1,432 settled · past 90 days59 open · 47% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$214.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,568Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.0% / $95% interval −54.7% to +12.8%35 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−21.9%n=30 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.7% · Decided 1,432 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded16 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$627.9K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$283.6K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
79.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$499.4KPnL+$211.9KAvg50¢Current86.9¢575,000Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$75.6KPnL−$211.9KAvg50¢Current13.2¢575,169.22Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$42.1KPnL+$19KAvg51.4¢Current93.5¢45,068.57Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$6.4KPnL+$6.4KAvg0¢Current58.9¢10,799.74Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$1.6KAvg0¢Current96.5¢1,688.92Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$1.1KAvg0¢Current65.5¢1,612.59Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$602PnL+$602Avg0¢Current26.5¢2,270.54Shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$265PnL+$196Avg0.6¢Current2.4¢11,265.79Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wokerjoesleeper: 47.7% win rate over 1,432 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −54.7%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−21.9% over 30 fills); +$594.6K lifetime P&L, $214.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.