Trader profile

big-short

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-21

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$52.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate68.8%109 settled · past 180 days8 open · <1% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded1,311Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.8% · Decided 109 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $7K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$297
Concentration: 42.9%
Positions: 14

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

NoValue$3KPnL+$2KAvg30¢Current88¢3,427.78Shares

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?

NoValue$1.3KPnL+$114Avg88.4¢Current96.7¢1,379.13Shares

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

NoValue$974PnL+$84Avg89¢Current97.4¢999.98Shares

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

NoValue$930PnL+$128Avg83.3¢Current96.6¢963.46Shares

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

YesValue$441PnL+$306Avg24.4¢Current79.5¢554.82Shares

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

NoValue$271PnL+$48Avg76¢Current92.5¢292.7Shares

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?

NoValue$57PnL+$23Avg56¢Current94.6¢60Shares

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

YesValue$3PnL−$8Avg20.7¢Current5.1¢52.53Shares

Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 months ago

SELLNO

95.5¢

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Open market →

✓ won

$1.2K

About this wallet

Wallet big-short: 68.8% win rate over 109 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$52.8K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-21.