PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Waterfall

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$15.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.8%318 settled · past 90 days9 open · <1% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,335Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.0% / $95% interval −61.8% to +49.9%52 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−1.5%n=31 settled
Tech
−10.4%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.8% · Decided 318 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$5.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.3K
Concentration
57.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$965Avg67.7¢Current97.1¢3,279.96Shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$166Avg87.2¢Current99.8¢1,329.96Shares
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?
NoValue$675PnL+$130Avg54.1¢Current67¢1,007.96Shares
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1?
NoValue$216PnL+$26Avg84.5¢Current96¢225Shares
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
NoValue$36PnL+$0.92Avg91.8¢Current94.2¢38.21Shares
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$36PnL+$10Avg47.7¢Current66.5¢54.11Shares
Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video?
NoValue$18PnL−$0.10Avg87¢Current86.5¢21Shares
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?
NoValue$17PnL+$3Avg80¢Current100¢17.1Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Waterfall: 81.8% win rate over 318 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −61.8%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−1.5% over 31 fills); +$15.3K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.