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Trader profile

Takeshirosoku

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$113.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.1M979 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded524Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.8% / $95% interval −298.4% to +272.7%50 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−12.8%n=50 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$46.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
SpursValue$0PnL−$4.8KAvg49¢Current9,835.98Shares
Seahawks · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg75.2¢Current2,525.82Shares
St. Louis Cardinals · YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg46.9¢Current8,963.29Shares
Spurs · YesValue$0PnL−$495Avg36¢Current1,374.08Shares
Washington Nationals · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg42¢Current714.29Shares
Colton Smith · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg60¢Current833.33Shares
Las Vegas Aces · YesValue$0PnL−$479Avg75¢Current638.67Shares
Pierluigi Basile · NoValue$0PnL−$871Avg38.2¢Current2,283.57Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Takeshirosoku: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −12.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −298.4%, n=50 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.8% over 50 fills); −$113.1K lifetime P&L, $5.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.