PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x633e…d305

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$249.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.8%10,445 settled · past 90 days29 open · 81% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,495Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+18.1% / $95% interval −146.8% to +183.0%187 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=173 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.8% · Decided 10,445 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$518
Snapshot cash PnL
−$387
Concentration
21.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$111PnL−$326Avg24.6¢Current6.3¢1,773.05Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$84PnL+$16Avg73.9¢Current91¢92.36Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$72PnL+$12Avg40.1¢Current48.5¢147.96Shares
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?
YesValue$38PnL+$14Avg62.8¢Current100¢37.91Shares
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
YesValue$37PnL+$9Avg15¢Current19.5¢192.27Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$21PnL+$2Avg88.7¢Current96.5¢21.47Shares
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
M80 · YesValue$19PnL+$4Avg81¢Current100¢18.99Shares
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
YesValue$19PnL+$17Avg0.4¢Current5.1¢371.24Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305: 42.8% win rate over 10,445 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +18.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −146.8%, n=187 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 173 fills); −$249.2K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.