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Trader profile

MontanaTonyTony

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 14 days ago
Lifetime volume$324.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded281Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.0% / $95% interval −24.6% to +6.6%15 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.0%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.6K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
63
Showing the largest 8 of 63
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg38¢Current10Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$73Avg48.4¢Current150.09Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.19Avg3.7¢Current5Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg61.9¢Current3,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg12¢Current48.63Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg35¢Current5,000Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg75¢Current100Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg49¢Current7.86Shares
Showing 8 of 63 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MontanaTonyTony: edge −9.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.6%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.0% over 15 fills); −$10.4K lifetime P&L, $324.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.