PolyTrace
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Trader profile

eCash

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$249.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.2%113 settled · past 90 days41 open · 35% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded354Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.7% / $95% interval −44.6% to +74.1%146 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+18.4%n=140 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.2% · Decided 113 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$380.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.2K
Concentration
20.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
58
Showing the largest 8 of 58
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$79.4KPnL+$29.4KAvg50¢Current79.4¢100,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$57.4KPnL+$4.3KAvg80¢Current86.5¢66,375.14Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$37.6KPnL+$5.6KAvg79.5¢Current93.5¢40,205.43Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$25.8KPnL+$2.9KAvg78.6¢Current88.5¢29,154.88Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$25.1KPnL+$2.1KAvg87.8¢Current96¢26,200Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$20.7KPnL−$29.4KAvg50¢Current20.7¢100,000Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$19.9KPnL+$1.6KAvg81.3¢Current88.5¢22,523.11Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
YesValue$16.4KPnL+$2KAvg86.2¢Current98¢16,761.29Shares
Showing 8 of 58 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet eCash: 75.2% win rate over 113 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +14.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.6%, n=146 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+18.4% over 140 fills); +$249.4K lifetime P&L, $9.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.