PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

NotTheSharpestTool

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$48.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet3 open · 0% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$644.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded218Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+13.3% / $95% interval −556.5% to +583.0%17 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+17.6%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.9K
Concentration
65.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
87
Showing the largest 8 of 87
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$854Avg45¢Current65.5¢4,168Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$427Avg44¢Current64.5¢2,084Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$71PnL+$4Avg0.8¢Current0.9¢8,336Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg44¢Current0¢8Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg60¢Current0¢5Shares
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.17Avg1¢Current0¢16.66Shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.7¢Current0¢147.09Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
YesValue$0PnL−$615Avg36.3¢Current0¢1,694.26Shares
Showing 8 of 87 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NotTheSharpestTool: edge +13.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −556.5%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+17.6% over 13 fills); +$48.7K lifetime P&L, $644.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.