PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x61fd…5b6e

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$79.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.9%552 settled · past 90 days0 open · 8 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,677Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−36.5% / $95% interval −494.5% to +421.4%20 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−22.9%n=10 settled
Sports
−28.2%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 25 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.9% · Decided 552 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg23.2¢Current4,679.5Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg29.6¢Current337.83Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg48¢Current208.33Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg32¢Current312.27Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$599Avg17¢Current3,522.04Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg33.9¢Current4,422.14Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg14.1¢Current19,650.86Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg34.5¢Current289.57Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x61fdf2b07ba6747edbcf9b3191e634ce5a925b6e: 33.9% win rate over 552 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −36.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −494.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−22.9% over 10 fills); −$79.4K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.