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Trader profile

LCN99

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$51.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.3%617 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,139Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.7% / $95% interval −197.3% to +157.9%35 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.2%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.3% · Decided 617 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
49
Showing the largest 8 of 49
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1KPnL−$465Avg50¢Current34.5¢3,000Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$800Avg23.5¢Current0¢3,410.34Shares
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg51¢Current0¢392.16Shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
TheMongolz · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg79¢Current0¢63.29Shares
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg39¢Current0¢25.64Shares
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Lucia Bronzetti · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg70.9¢Current0¢70.49Shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · NoValue$0PnL−$50Avg80¢Current0¢62.5Shares
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · NoValue$0PnL−$600Avg85¢Current0¢705.88Shares
Showing 8 of 49 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LCN99: 61.3% win rate over 617 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −19.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −197.3%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.2% over 31 fills); −$51.3K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.