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Trader profile

colono

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.9%1,908 settled · past 180 days14 open · 38% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded977Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.6% / $95% interval −220.6% to +203.5%107 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−7.8%n=106 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.9% · Decided 1,908 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$576
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.6K
Concentration
40%
Largest share of value
Positions
773
Showing the largest 8 of 773
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$230PnL−$3Avg41.7¢Current41.2¢559.88Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$107PnL−$3Avg41.8¢Current40.5¢264.72Shares
Will Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?
YesValue$56PnL+$23Avg54.6¢Current92.5¢61.04Shares
Will Lahesio Bonfim win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?
YesValue$47PnL+$18Avg13.3¢Current21.8¢213.46Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$41PnL−$4Avg31¢Current28.5¢144.02Shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$23PnL+$3Avg7.5¢Current8.6¢267.85Shares
Will Chapecoense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?
YesValue$16PnL+$6Avg50¢Current82.4¢20Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
YesValue$16PnL−$9Avg13¢Current8.5¢192.3Shares
Showing 8 of 773 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet colono: 46.9% win rate over 1,908 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −220.6%, n=107 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.8% over 106 fills); −$5.7K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.