Trader profile

louiscarl

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$118Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate79.5%205 settled · past 180 days3 open · 100% underwater · 7 days ago

Lifetime volume$543.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded340Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.5% · Decided 205 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded7 days ago

Current position value: $2
Snapshot cash PnL: −$290
Concentration: 50%
Positions: 17

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

YesValue$1PnL−$29Avg30¢Current1.2¢100Shares

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

YesValue$0.75PnL−$13Avg13.8¢Current0.8¢100Shares

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

YesValue$0.40PnL−$12Avg12.8¢Current0.4¢100Shares

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg17.5¢Current0¢12.08Shares

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg53¢Current0¢18.87Shares

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?

YesValue$0PnL−$73Avg73¢Current0¢100Shares

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$16Avg7.5¢Current0¢209.99Shares

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg48.5¢Current0¢20Shares

Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet louiscarl: 79.5% win rate over 205 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$118 lifetime P&L, $543.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.