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Trader profile

lustra123

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.7%122 settled · past 90 days0 open · 6 days ago
Lifetime volume$501.2K854 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded591Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.3% / $95% interval −33.8% to +19.3%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−7.3%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.7% · Decided 122 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
116
Showing the largest 8 of 116
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?
YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg16¢Current0¢1,562.5Shares
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce
Martin Landaluce · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg43¢Current0¢1,162.79Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda
Trevor Svajda · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢862.07Shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg18.7¢Current0¢2,134.04Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg41¢Current0¢488.17Shares
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)
Jodar · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg65¢Current0¢769.23Shares
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx
Casper Ruud · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg73¢Current0¢684.93Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame
Adolfo Vallejo · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg52¢Current0¢576.92Shares
Showing 8 of 116 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lustra123: 60.7% win rate over 122 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.8%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.3% over 25 fills); +$13.2K lifetime P&L, $501.2K traded, updated 2026-09-28.