PolyTrace
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Trader profile

stupidoso

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$4.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded305Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.0% / $95% interval −65.3% to +51.4%164 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−7.0%n=164 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
61
Showing the largest 8 of 61
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ninjas in Pyjamas · YesValue$0PnL−$153Avg1.6¢Current0¢9,442.41Shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LGD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$102Avg10¢Current0¢1,026.2Shares
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Team WE · YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg0.3¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$567Avg35¢Current0¢1,618.99Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$27Avg3.1¢Current0¢843.87Shares
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
SK GamingValue$0PnL−$546Avg60.7¢Current0¢899.75Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
HANJIN BRION · NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg0.2¢Current0¢10,000Shares
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Team WE · YesValue$0PnL−$193Avg15.2¢Current0¢1,270Shares
Showing 8 of 61 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet stupidoso: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −65.3%, n=164 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.0% over 164 fills); +$4.7K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-28.