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Trader profile

Varil

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$605Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 0% underwater · 17 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,199Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete17 minutes ago
Current position value
$42.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$220
Concentration
85.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$36.1KPnL+$235Avg99.3¢Current100¢36,166.56Shares
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?
NoValue$6KPnL+$0.22Avg98.9¢Current98.9¢6,023.08Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on September 20?
NoValue$0.96PnL$0Avg99.9¢Current100¢0.96Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 20?
NoValue$0.94PnL$0Avg99.9¢Current100¢0.94Shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg99.8¢Current0¢5Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20?
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg99.9¢Current0¢5Shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg99.8¢Current0¢5Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Varil: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$605 lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-29.