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Trader profile

avarec

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.2%98 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$288.1K837 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded171Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −26.5% to +28.1%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.8%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.2% · Decided 98 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
2
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Commanders · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$1.4KAvg0¢Current40.5¢3,393Shares
Missouri · YesValue$0PnL−$353Avg18.1¢Current0¢1,950Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet avarec: 60.2% win rate over 98 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.5%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.8% over 25 fills); +$3.1K lifetime P&L, $288.1K traded, updated 2026-09-27.