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Trader profile

icarusreborn

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$23.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 20 days ago
Lifetime volume$268.7K178 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded48Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.5% / $95% interval −337.1% to +296.0%47 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.5%n=47 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$48.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-13?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg63¢Current0¢2,999.37Shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
NoValue$0PnL−$3.4KAvg70.2¢Current0¢4,811.47Shares
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors
Memphis Grizzlies · YesValue$0PnL−$3.4KAvg65.5¢Current0¢5,254.2Shares
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
Toronto Raptors · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg66.9¢Current0¢2,133.67Shares
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-07-15?
NoValue$0PnL−$948Avg47¢Current0¢2,016.61Shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
NoValue$0PnL−$5.6KAvg66.7¢Current0¢8,463.47Shares
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg69.3¢Current0¢2,077.32Shares
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Vitality · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg50.9¢Current0¢2,838.27Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet icarusreborn: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −20.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −337.1%, n=47 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.5% over 47 fills); −$23.4K lifetime P&L, $268.7K traded, updated 2026-09-28.