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Trader profile

lpcapital1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$126KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.6%2,753 settled · past 90 days35 open · 68% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,294Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.1% / $95% interval −49.9% to +68.2%120 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+7.4%n=112 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 34 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.6% · Decided 2,753 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$774.4K
Concentration
20.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,614
Showing the largest 8 of 2,614
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Over · YesValue$1.6KPnL+$25Avg65¢Current66¢2,452.78Shares
Over · YesValue$842PnL+$236Avg72¢Current100¢841.89Shares
New York Yankees · NoValue$775PnL+$364Avg53¢Current100¢774.75Shares
OverValue$594PnL+$499Avg16¢Current100¢594Shares
UnderValue$500PnL+$55Avg89¢Current100¢500Shares
YesValue$302PnL+$36Avg56¢Current63.5¢474.95Shares
Blackhawks · NoValue$291PnL+$121Avg58.4¢Current100¢291Shares
Hapoel Tel Aviv · YesValue$249PnL+$11Avg71.2¢Current74.5¢334.64Shares
Showing 8 of 2,614 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lpcapital1: 54.6% win rate over 2,753 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +9.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −49.9%, n=120 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+7.4% over 112 fills); −$126K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.