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Trader profile

cerebralhole

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$66.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 7 settled so far0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$723.2K377 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded24Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.3% / $95% interval −57.3% to −1.4%80 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.8%n=72 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$147.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
BIG · YesValue$0PnL−$5.7KAvg30.9¢Current0¢18,309.21Shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 Winner
Astralis · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg58.1¢Current0¢2,927.47Shares
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
3DMAX · NoValue$0PnL−$468Avg5.7¢Current0¢8,165.32Shares
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
NRG · YesValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg30.8¢Current0¢16,499.99Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
FURIA · NoValue$0PnL−$5.9KAvg32¢Current0¢18,463.12Shares
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100 Thieves · NoValue$0PnL−$9.2KAvg42.2¢Current0¢21,879.45Shares
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Liquid · NoValue$0PnL−$5.5KAvg45.6¢Current0¢11,999.99Shares
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
Legacy · YesValue$0PnL−$21.5KAvg40¢Current0¢53,833.61Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cerebralhole: edge −29.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −57.3%, n=80 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.8% over 72 fills); −$66.6K lifetime P&L, $723.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.