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Trader profile

vilkaZ

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$32.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.2%118 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded178Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.0% / $95% interval −36.1% to −7.8%191 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−24.9%n=182 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.2% · Decided 118 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$177.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Portland FireValue$0PnL−$0.31Avg48¢Current0¢0.65Shares
Packers · YesValue$0PnL−$16.7KAvg52¢Current0¢32,100Shares
Rams · YesValue$0PnL−$18.1KAvg47.9¢Current0¢37,729Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$11.3KAvg52¢Current0¢21,800Shares
Seahawks · YesValue$0PnL−$10.6KAvg77¢Current0¢13,799Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$0.17Avg41¢Current0¢0.42Shares
GamerLegion · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg60¢Current0¢2,565Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$11.7KAvg47¢Current0¢24,959.98Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet vilkaZ: 54.2% win rate over 118 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −36.1%, n=191 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.9% over 182 fills); −$32.1K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-29.