PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x5f30…3aee

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$106.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.5%1,031 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,433Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.9% / $95% interval −147.0% to +119.3%391 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−4.5%n=23 settled
Sports
−13.3%n=341 settled
Unmapped
−17.6%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.5% · Decided 1,031 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$229.9K
Concentration
99.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
259
Showing the largest 8 of 259
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$1KPnL+$411Avg60¢Current100¢1,029.69Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Down · NoValue$1PnL−$554Avg21.2¢Current0.1¢2,615.7Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Down · NoValue$0.59PnL−$588Avg49.7¢Current0.1¢1,185.77Shares
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
Ivory · NoValue$0PnL−$266Avg61.4¢Current0¢432.62Shares
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
Team WE · NoValue$0PnL−$533Avg84¢Current0¢634.44Shares
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Natus VincereValue$0PnL−$137Avg65.8¢Current0¢208.29Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$277Avg51.7¢Current0¢535.57Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton · NoValue$0PnL−$135Avg78¢Current0¢173.27Shares
Showing 8 of 259 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x5f3017816537dcc354da8f2494ed98c047153aee: 60.5% win rate over 1,031 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −13.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −147.0%, n=391 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−4.5% over 23 fills); −$106.2K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.