PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dpnd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$28.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate20.3%986 settled · past 90 days31 open · 36% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$14.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,045Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 20.3% · Decided 986 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$16.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$135
Concentration
18.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL−$109Avg92.7¢Current89.6¢3,505.14Shares
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$134Avg91.4¢Current96.9¢2,442.27Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$430Avg52¢Current64.5¢3,430.05Shares
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$49Avg91.8¢Current94.5¢1,862.76Shares
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$1.2KPnL−$6Avg76.9¢Current76.5¢1,604.73Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$797PnL+$53Avg60.2¢Current64.5¢1,236.11Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$657PnL+$83Avg83¢Current95¢691.9Shares
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
NoValue$596PnL−$22Avg89.5¢Current86.3¢691.15Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dpnd: 20.3% win rate over 986 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$28.1K lifetime P&L, $14.6M traded, updated 2026-09-28.