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Trader profile

cezarn132

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate80.2%86 settled · past 180 days7 open · 51% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M587 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded211Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.6% / $95% interval −47.3% to +36.0%13 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 80.2% · Decided 86 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$64.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$42K
Concentration
52.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$34.2KPnL+$11.8KAvg61.4¢Current93.5¢36,592.46Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$11.7KPnL+$1.7KAvg85¢Current99.7¢11,764.71Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$8.5KPnL−$16.5KAvg63.5¢Current21.5¢39,360.68Shares
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
NoValue$4.1KPnL+$925Avg75.1¢Current96.8¢4,263.29Shares
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$713Avg78.5¢Current96.6¢3,949.03Shares
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$794Avg56.8¢Current91.5¢2,288.83Shares
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?
YesValue$339PnL−$11Avg92.5¢Current89.5¢378.39Shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg59¢Current0¢1.69Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cezarn132: 80.2% win rate over 86 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.3%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days); −$17.7K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-29.