Trader profile
Historical record
Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.
Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.
Observed activity
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
Wallet smaug.the.fire.drake: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$227 lifetime P&L, $31.8K traded, updated 2026-09-25.
