PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Newshound

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$65.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.3%268 settled · past 90 days91 open · 87% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,416Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.7% / $95% interval −111.6% to +108.1%98 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+9.1%n=29 settled
Politics
−1.2%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.3% · Decided 268 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$37.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$68.2K
Concentration
23.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
485
Showing the largest 8 of 485
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$8.9KPnL−$11.5KAvg55.3¢Current24¢36,889.81Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$1.2KAvg38¢Current58.2¢6,072.49Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.2KPnL−$1.6KAvg47¢Current31.5¢10,187.68Shares
Trump renames AI by September 30?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$381Avg59.4¢Current68.5¢4,168.33Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$296Avg87.6¢Current97.8¢2,906.5Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$5Avg77¢Current77.2¢2,483.21Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$290Avg72.1¢Current89¢1,717.07Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$2.8KAvg68.3¢Current24¢6,300.04Shares
Showing 8 of 485 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Newshound: 56.3% win rate over 268 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −111.6%, n=98 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+9.1% over 29 fills); +$65.4K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-28.