PolyTrace
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Trader profile

PBot-10

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$150.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…72 open · 61% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$11.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded753Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.2% / $95% interval −194.2% to +200.6%139 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.2%n=139 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded2 days ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$6.3K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$363.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
19.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$120Avg76.1¢Current84.5¢1,429.47Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$489PnL+$11Avg91.4¢Current93.5¢522.5Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?
NoValue$377PnL+$34Avg31.8¢Current35¢1,076Shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?
DownValue$310PnL+$44Avg52.4¢Current61¢508.33Shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 28?
UpValue$295PnL−$9Avg63.3¢Current61.5¢480Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
NoValue$265PnL+$11Avg92¢Current96¢276.62Shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 28?
DownValue$256PnL+$29Avg60.8¢Current68.5¢374.09Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?
NoValue$197PnL+$48Avg31.1¢Current41¢480Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PBot-10: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +3.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −194.2%, n=139 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.2% over 139 fills); −$150.3K lifetime P&L, $11.2M traded, updated 2026-09-27.