PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Cungly

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$42.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate63.1%1,102 settled · past 180 days35 open · 61% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$19.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded461Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.9% / $95% interval −114.7% to +154.4%238 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+24.2%n=204 settled
Finance
−15.4%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 63.1% · Decided 1,102 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$13.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.4K
Concentration
23.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$675Avg52¢Current65.5¢5,000Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$97Avg95.2¢Current99.4¢2,359.46Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$29Avg16.8¢Current16.5¢8,629.95Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$438Avg36.2¢Current58.1¢2,000Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$39Avg92.7¢Current96.5¢1,038.63Shares
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
NoValue$665PnL+$11Avg95.6¢Current97.2¢684.23Shares
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
NoValue$608PnL+$2Avg87.2¢Current87.5¢695.12Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
YesValue$482PnL+$60Avg7¢Current8¢6,023.13Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Cungly: 63.1% win rate over 1,102 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +19.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −114.7%, n=238 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+24.2% over 204 fills); +$42.8K lifetime P&L, $19.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.