PolyTrace
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Trader profile

alternate01

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.5%68 settled · past 180 days37 open · 34% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$269.5K795 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded145Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.5% · Decided 68 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$9.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$59
Concentration
20.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
NoValue$2KPnL+$71Avg96.3¢Current99.9¢2,000Shares
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$64Avg74.4¢Current71.6¢2,247.7Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1KPnL+$84Avg84.9¢Current92.5¢1,100Shares
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Avengers: Doomsday · NoValue$573PnL+$110Avg78.4¢Current97¢591.3Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$553PnL+$203Avg50¢Current79.1¢700Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$445PnL+$42Avg80.6¢Current89¢500Shares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
NoValue$344PnL+$19Avg92.8¢Current98.3¢350.01Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$318PnL+$72Avg61.5¢Current79.5¢400Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet alternate01: 73.5% win rate over 68 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$7.2K lifetime P&L, $269.5K traded, updated 2026-09-27.