PolyTrace
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Trader profile

x26

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$47.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.8%116 settled · past 90 days50 open · 51% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,062Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.7% / $95% interval −250.5% to +229.0%39 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−11.0%n=34 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.8% · Decided 116 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$86.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$846
Concentration
25.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$22.1KPnL+$9.6KAvg50¢Current88.4¢25,000Shares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$20.1KPnL+$1.4KAvg85.4¢Current91.5¢22,000Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$4.2KPnL+$243Avg87.1¢Current92.5¢4,499.99Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.9KPnL+$731Avg63.4¢Current78¢4,999.99Shares
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$60Avg86¢Current87.5¢4,000Shares
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
NoValue$3KPnL+$245Avg90.5¢Current98.5¢3,079.94Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$2.2KAvg56.7¢Current32.5¢8,999.99Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$9.6KAvg50¢Current11.6¢25,000Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet x26: 69.8% win rate over 116 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −250.5%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−11.0% over 34 fills); +$47.5K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-28.