PolyTrace
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Trader profile

lighter300

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$433Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet22 open · 45% underwater · 6 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded432Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 days ago
Current position value
$563
Snapshot cash PnL
−$699
Concentration
23.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
110
Showing the largest 8 of 110
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$132PnL+$6Avg80.8¢Current84.4¢156.68Shares
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$100PnL+$62Avg38¢Current100¢99.99Shares
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$93PnL+$13Avg72.3¢Current84¢110.31Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$71PnL+$8Avg31.3¢Current35.5¢200Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$34PnL+$5Avg74¢Current86.5¢39.32Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
YesValue$23PnL−$7Avg19.1¢Current14.5¢155.74Shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YesValue$14PnL−$2Avg16.6¢Current14.5¢98.25Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$14PnL−$4Avg18.7¢Current14.5¢97.21Shares
Showing 8 of 110 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lighter300: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$433 lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-22.