PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

RONAN20190721

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$36.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%32 settled · past 90 days2 open · 80% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$555.8K508 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded137Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.6% / $95% interval −36.0% to +4.8%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.6%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 32 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$132.5K
Concentration
89.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
70
Showing the largest 8 of 70
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$945PnL−$55Avg73¢Current69¢1,369.86Shares
Under · NoValue$114PnL+$14Avg48¢Current54.5¢208.33Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$2KAvg50.8¢Current0¢3,940Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg49.1¢Current0¢2,038.19Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53.8¢Current0¢1,860.19Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg48¢Current0¢2,708.33Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$3KAvg49.2¢Current0¢6,096.86Shares
Over 2.5Value$0PnL−$121Avg44.8¢Current0¢270.19Shares
Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RONAN20190721: 62.5% win rate over 32 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −36.0%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.6% over 22 fills); −$36.8K lifetime P&L, $555.8K traded, updated 2026-09-28.